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After Powell turned to pigeon and ignited the market, Fed officials came out to "splash cold water"!
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange]: After Powell turned to the pigeon and triggered the market, Fed officials came out to "splash cold water"!". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
On August 25, early trading in the Asian market on Monday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered around 97.91. Last Friday, the dollar index plunged in the session and finally closed up 0.4934% to 97.7, the biggest single-day drop since early August, erasing all week-over gains. U.S. Treasury yields generally fell, with the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields closing at 4.264%, and the 2-year U.S. Treasury yields closing at 3.709%. Spot gold rose sharply after Powell's speech, hitting a high of $3378.8/oz intraday, and finally closed up 1% to close at $3372.11/oz; spot silver followed gold and finally closed up 1.72% to $38.85/oz. International crude oil remained stable, with the first rise in three weeks last week, given the still uncertainty surrounding the potential peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine. WTI crude oil remained above $63 and finally closed up 0.36% to $63.65 per barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed up 0.25% to $67.32 per barrel.
Analysis of major currencies
Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar index hovered at $97.91. The index traded around 98.7 points before Powell made his speech. Earlier, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell pointed out that interest rate cuts may be cut at the September meeting but did not make a promise. Technically, the US dollar index fell below support level 98.00–98.20 and moved towards the 97.70 level. If the U.S. dollar index closes below 97.70, it will move towards the next support level 97.10–97.30.
Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends
1) Analysis of gold market trends
On the Asian session on Monday, gold hovered around 3364.41. Last Friday, gold prices rose 1% because Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech at Jackson Hall's annual central bank seminar was like a timely rain, extinguishing market concerns about inflation and igniting investors' eager expectations for a rate cut in September. This not only drove the gold price to rebound strongly, but also caused the US dollar exchange rate to fall sharply. , the gold market ushered in a new round of bullish wave. Although physical demand in Asia is still sluggish, professional Wall Street analysts and ordinary investors are all confident about the prospects of gold. This week, the speeches of New York Fed Chairman Williams and other Federal Reserve officials, the initial monthly rate of durable goods orders in the United States in July, the US Consultative Conference Board consumer confidence index, the revised annualized quarterly rate of real GDP in the second quarter, the number of initial unemployment claims in the United States for the week ending August 23, and the US July PCE data.
2) Analysis of crude oil market trends
On the Asian session on Monday, crude oil trading around 63.60. Oil prices stabilized last Friday, with oil prices rising for the first time in three weeks last week amid uncertainty over the possible peace deal between Russia and Ukraine. This week focuses on speeches by Fed officials such as New York Fed Chairman Williams, the initial monthly rate of durable goods orders in the United States in July, the August Consultative Conference Consumer Confidence Index, the revised annualized quarterly rate of US real GDP in the second quarter, the number of initial unemployment claims for the week ending August 23, and the US July PCE data.
Forex market trading reminder on August 25, 2025
①16:00 Germany's August IFO Business Boom Index
②22:00 The total number of new home sales in the United States in July was annualized
③22:30 US Dallas Fed Business Activity Index in August
④The next day, the Federal Reserve Logan delivered a speech
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